Kauno Žalgiris II vs Neptunas Klaipėda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
15º
15º
38
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 55% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
3 - 1
FKK
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
FKK
69%
21%
11%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FKT
3 - 0
FKK
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
FKK
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Neptunas Klaipėda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
NEP
2 - 0
BFA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FKE
1 - 2
NEP
15%
20%
65%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
NEP
1 - 0
ATM
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 4
NEP
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
NEP
1 - 1
FKT
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |