Kauno Žalgiris II vs FK Jonava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
14º
14º
18
7º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 0
FKK
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
FKE
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 0
FKK
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 4
FKK
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FKK
2 - 2
FKE
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 0
LIE
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 1
BFA
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 0
LIE
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
ATM
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SKL
1 - 5
LIE
9%
12%
79%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |