Kauno Žalgiris II vs FK Siauliai 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
14º
14º
11
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
4 - 2
FKK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 0
FHL
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
LIE
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 0
FKK
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
FKE
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Siauliai 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SIA
0 - 4
BFA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FKE
4 - 1
SIA
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SIA
1 - 2
ATM
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
NEV
2 - 4
SIA
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SIA
0 - 0
FKT
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |