Kauno Žalgiris II vs FC Hegelmann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
14º
14º
20
5º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
LIE
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 0
FKK
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
FKE
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 0
FKK
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 4
FKK
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 2
BFA
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
FKE
1 - 2
FHL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 1
ATM
26%
24%
51%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 1
FHL
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
NEV
4 - 0
FHL
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |