Kauno Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
15º
15º
18
5º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 2
NEV
22%
24%
53%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
NEP
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
3 - 1
FKK
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
FKK
69%
21%
11%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 0
ATM
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
5 - 0
FKE
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIE
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 1
FKT
20%
22%
59%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |