Karosta vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 1
FKK
18%
19%
63%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
FKK
4 - 1
LDZ
8%
13%
80%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | +11 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
FKT
0 - 1
FKK
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
FKK
8 - 1
FKM
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
RIG
1 - 3
FKK
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FKJ
1 - 1
RIG
15%
23%
61%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VEN
1 - 1
FKJ
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FKJ
2 - 2
BFC
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
BFC
1 - 2
FKJ
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 1
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |