FK Kaluga II vs Avangard Kursk Ii analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
12º
11º
13
6º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Kaluga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 0
FKK
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
URO
2 - 1
FKK
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 8
ORE
6%
12%
83%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 3
BGU
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 5
LOK
7%
15%
78%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk Ii
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 2
ROT
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 2
DIN
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 3
MET
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
URO
12 - 0
AVA
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 6
ATO
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | -1 |