FS Jelgava vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
65.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 3
AUD
16%
26%
59%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 4
LIE
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
FKJ
77%
15%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 0
FSM
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
VAL
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 3
VAL
21%
20%
59%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
VAL
37%
25%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |