FS Jelgava vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
9º
6º
21
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
17%
20%
63%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
GRO
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 3
SUP
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 0
FKT
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 1
AUD
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FSM
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |