FS Jelgava vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
9º
6º
21
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 1
CAR
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKJ
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
1 - 1
FKJ
63%
20%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
FKJ
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
SUP
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
SUP
4 - 0
FSM
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
TRA
34%
23%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |