Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 0-6
FS Jelgava vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
FKS
1 - 1
FKJ
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
RBK
4 - 0
FKJ
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
FKJ
3 - 0
LIE
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKJ
20%
26%
55%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
FKJ
1 - 1
FKD
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
RBK
5 - 3
HAU
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
RBK
4 - 0
FKJ
74%
17%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
IKS
2 - 4
RBK
27%
24%
49%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
RBK
3 - 1
LSK
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
RBK
3 - 4
RAN
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |