FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
9º
6º
21
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
39.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 0
SUP
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
17%
20%
63%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
6 - 2
FKT
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 0
FKT
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
FKT
39%
24%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |