FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
35
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 2
FKJ
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 1
LIE
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
FKJ
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
LIE
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
6 - 1
FKT
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
AUD
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
RIG
24%
24%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |