FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
35
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
49%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 0
FKJ
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
FKJ
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
FKJ
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
TAL
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
FKT
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
PAN
25%
23%
52%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
5 - 2
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 3
FKT
43%
22%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 3
FKT
27%
22%
51%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |