FS Jelgava vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
9º
6º
35
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 0
SUP
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
17%
20%
63%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
KFV
0 - 2
LIE
3%
8%
89%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
LIE
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 0
GRO
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 3
LIE
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |