FS Jelgava vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
9º
7º
25
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 74 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 74 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 57 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 57 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 46 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 42 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 39 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 33 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 32 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
FKJ
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FKJ
3 - 1
AUD
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 2
RIG
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
LIE
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 1
RIG
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 0
LIE
27%
23%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
LIE
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |