FS Jelgava vs FK Liepāja analysis

FS Jelgava FK Liepāja
65 ELO 76
-4.3% Tilt -5.6%
2335º General ELO ranking 984º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.7%
FS Jelgava
25.1%
Draw
50.2%
FK Liepāja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
FS Jelgava
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.2%
Win probability
FK Liepāja
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FS Jelgava
+15%
-15%
FK Liepāja

Points and table prediction

FS Jelgava
Their league position
FK Liepāja
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
25
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK RFS
37
74
47.5%
Riga FC
39
74
42.5%
FK Auda
28
57
45.5%
FK Liepāja
25
57
41%
BFC Daugavpils
21
46
32%
SK Super Nova
17
42
25%
FS Jelgava
21
40
29%
Grobiņa
16
39
19%
FK Tukums 2000
10º
11
33
25%
FK Metta
13
32
10º
43.5%
Expected probabilities
FS Jelgava
FK Liepāja
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 1.5%
Conference League knock out round
0.5% 42%
Mid-table
78.5% 56.5%
Relegation play-offs
15.5% 0%
Relegation
5.5% 0%

ELO progression

FS Jelgava
FK Liepāja
SK Super Nova
FK Tukums 2000
FK Metta
Grobiņa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2025
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
55%
24%
21%
66 69 3 0
21 May. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
0 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
48%
24%
28%
66 65 1 0
15 May. 2025
FKJ
FS Jelgava
3 - 1
FK Auda
AUD
25%
27%
48%
64 76 12 +2
10 May. 2025
CAR
Riga FC
2 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
65%
22%
14%
65 76 11 -1
05 May. 2025
FKJ
FS Jelgava
2 - 2
FK RFS
RIG
21%
25%
54%
64 76 12 +1

Matches

FK Liepāja
FK Liepāja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
0 - 0
FK Auda
AUD
44%
27%
30%
76 76 0 0
19 May. 2025
CAR
Riga FC
2 - 0
FK Liepāja
LIE
40%
26%
34%
76 76 0 0
14 May. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
2 - 1
FK RFS
RIG
39%
26%
35%
75 76 1 +1
10 May. 2025
GRO
Grobiņa
2 - 0
FK Liepāja
LIE
27%
23%
49%
76 62 14 -1
06 May. 2025
FKT
FK Tukums 2000
2 - 2
FK Liepāja
LIE
25%
24%
51%
76 63 13 0