FS Jelgava vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
39
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
FKJ
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
FKJ
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
CAR
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 0
FKJ
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 3
LIE
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 1
AUD
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
LIE
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |