FS Jelgava vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
66.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
9º
6º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 3
RIG
12%
18%
70%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
SUP
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKJ
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
FKJ
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 3
CAR
13%
24%
64%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
2 - 2
LIE
16%
20%
63%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
FSM
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |