Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 0-3
FS Jelgava vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
FTC
2 - 0
FKJ
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
FKJ
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FKJ
2 - 0
FSM
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SUD
2 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
FKS
1 - 1
FKJ
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
FTC
2 - 0
FKJ
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
FTC
1 - 0
BEI
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
FTC
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FTC
2 - 0
UJP
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FHV
4 - 1
FTC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |