FS Jelgava vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
87
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 2
RIG
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |