FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
22%
66%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 3
AUD
16%
26%
59%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |