FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
KAU
0 - 9
FKJ
25%
22%
54%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FKT
0 - 0
FKJ
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LIE
3 - 1
FKJ
62%
22%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FKJ
2 - 3
FKS
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 0
FKJ
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 0
BFC
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BFC
0 - 4
LIE
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FKS
3 - 3
BFC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
BFC
0 - 2
VAL
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 0
BFC
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |