FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 2
FKJ
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 0
FKJ
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKJ
14%
24%
62%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FKJ
2 - 0
LIE
35%
24%
42%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FKS
0 - 0
FKJ
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
BFC
1 - 1
LIE
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
FCS
4 - 1
BFC
80%
14%
5%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
FKS
1 - 1
BFC
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BFC
1 - 1
VEN
12%
22%
66%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BFC
2 - 0
FSM
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |