FS Jelgava vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
58.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 4
LIE
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
FKJ
77%
15%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 0
FSM
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
FKT
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CLI
1 - 2
AUD
43%
24%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
LIE
53%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
B36
0 - 1
AUD
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 4
AUD
5%
11%
84%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
B36
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |