FS Jelgava vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
50%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FKJ
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 1
FSM
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
FKT
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
49%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |