FK Irkutsk II vs Polimer Barnaul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+535%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
9º
53
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Irkutsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKY
2 - 0
FKI
10%
15%
75%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FRK
3 - 2
FKI
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MET
0 - 4
FKI
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FRM
0 - 0
FKI
76%
15%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
FKI
4 - 0
SDB
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Polimer Barnaul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
FPB
2 - 2
FKN
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FPB
2 - 2
FRM
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
FPB
1 - 0
MET
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 3
FPB
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FPB
3 - 1
SDB
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |