Ilpar Ilyinsky vs Tobol Tobolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 2
FII
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SZP
2 - 2
FII
23%
20%
57%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FII
7 - 3
APK
79%
13%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FII
1 - 1
FMA
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
TOB
0 - 3
FII
8%
14%
78%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Tobol Tobolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FST
2 - 1
TOB
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TOB
3 - 7
FKZ
36%
22%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FPP
2 - 1
TOB
39%
22%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TOB
0 - 0
SZP
46%
21%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FMA
6 - 0
TOB
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |