Gubkin vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
POD
2 - 0
FKG
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FKG
4 - 2
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 3
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FKG
2 - 3
SAL
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 2
FKG
58%
24%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 0
AVA
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SOK
1 - 1
ZEN
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 2
FAK
19%
25%
56%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 2
ZEN
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
ZEN
2 - 1
VIT
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |