Gubkin vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
FKG
2 - 0
VIT
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
SOK
0 - 3
FKG
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 0
ZVE
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
FKG
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 0
FKG
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
ORE
3 - 0
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 1
ORE
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ORE
3 - 1
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 2
ORE
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ORE
1 - 2
AVA
21%
25%
55%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |