Gubkin vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
ZEN
1 - 0
FKG
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 2
FKG
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
NIM
0 - 2
FKG
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
FKS
1 - 1
FKG
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2008 |
FKG
0 - 0
DIV
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 0
NIM
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
ORE
2 - 0
FKS
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
MET
3 - 1
ORE
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 2
ORE
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2008 |
ORE
2 - 1
ZVE
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |