Gubkin vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
FKG
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FKG
2 - 0
SPA
63%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 1
FKG
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 0
ORE
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
FKG
2 - 0
VIT
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 2
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
SOK
1 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
4 - 1
FAK
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +3 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 2
MET
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |