FAP Priboj vs Mačva 1929 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
8º
3º
32
13º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAP Priboj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MLA
1 - 2
PRI
66%
22%
12%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 1
BUA
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
PRI
0 - 1
JOS
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LOZ
2 - 0
PRI
71%
18%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
PRO
4 - 1
PRI
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mačva 1929
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
BOR
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
PLJ
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TAK
1 - 3
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
SUS
66%
19%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SBB
1 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |