Essentuki vs Legion Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
14º
14º
21
11º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essentuki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
DMA
4 - 0
ETK
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ETK
0 - 3
ALA
30%
21%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
5 - 0
ETK
90%
8%
2%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ETK
0 - 6
ROT
5%
15%
80%
|
16 | 58 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NAL
1 - 0
ETK
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 2
CHA
8%
18%
74%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SKA
1 - 0
LEG
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 2
DIN
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAS
1 - 5
LEG
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 4
CHE
10%
19%
71%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |