FK Epitsentr vs FSC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
7º
5º
7
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Epitsentr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 3
FED
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FED
1 - 2
POL
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BUK
1 - 2
FED
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
FED
5 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LYU
1 - 0
FED
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
POL
4 - 2
FYM
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FYM
1 - 1
PRY
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KPT
3 - 0
FYM
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SKT
2 - 1
FYM
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FYM
0 - 1
POL
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |