Dunav Ruse II vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
50.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
15º
13º
25
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
LUD
6 - 1
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCF
3 - 0
DOR
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 2
FKR
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
2 - 0
DOR
7%
13%
79%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 1
LOR
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UST
5 - 1
SVE
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UST
5 - 2
KUB
93%
6%
1%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SEP
5 - 1
UST
85%
12%
4%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
CHE
12%
17%
72%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
CMV
11%
15%
73%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |