Dunav Ruse II vs Riltzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
15º
13º
33
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
2 - 0
DOR
7%
13%
79%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 1
LOR
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SGT
5 - 0
DOR
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 2
FSV
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHE
7 - 0
DOR
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKR
3 - 1
KUB
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 0
FKR
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FKR
2 - 1
DOR
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UST
2 - 2
FKR
17%
19%
64%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FKR
3 - 1
LOR
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |