Dunav Ruse II vs Cherno More Varna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
73.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
15º
13º
53
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
SVE
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 2
DOR
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KUB
1 - 0
DOR
6%
12%
82%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
SEP
15%
23%
62%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
DOR
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CMV
5 - 0
FCF
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CMV
3 - 0
KUB
88%
8%
3%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CMV
4 - 2
CHE
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CMV
0 - 0
LUD
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 1
CMV
29%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |