MFK Dukla vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
5º
3º
52
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MFK Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FKD
3 - 1
POD
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ZIL
6 - 4
FKD
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FKD
2 - 3
DAC
30%
25%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 2
FKD
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FKD
2 - 0
LIP
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
TNV
3 - 0
TRE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TNV
0 - 0
SBR
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DAC
3 - 1
TNV
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
TNV
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TNV
6 - 1
POD
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |