Daugava Riga vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 0
FKD
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FKD
2 - 2
FCS
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JFK
2 - 1
FKD
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FKD
0 - 3
FCD
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GUL
4 - 1
FKD
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
VEN
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 1
VEN
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 0
FKJ
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 3
VEN
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |