Daugava Riga vs Gulbene 2005 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FKD
1 - 1
FCJ
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 0
FKD
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FKD
2 - 2
GUL
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 1
FKD
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FKD
4 - 0
JFK
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gulbene 2005
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 1
LIE
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FKJ
3 - 0
GUL
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FKD
2 - 2
GUL
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 2
FCJ
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
JFK
1 - 1
GUL
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |