Chernihiv vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
9º
8º
39
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 3 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 1
FKC
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
FYM
2 - 0
FKC
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FNB
0 - 0
FKC
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 0
FKC
39%
23%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FKC
2 - 2
POL
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
POK
0 - 1
MYK
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FYM
3 - 0
POK
27%
23%
51%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BUK
3 - 2
POK
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
BUK
0 - 2
POK
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
POK
0 - 1
KPT
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |