Cherepovets vs Zenit II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
13º
37
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 66 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 61 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 39 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 27 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 1
FKC
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FKC
0 - 2
DVO
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FKI
2 - 1
FKC
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CHE
3 - 1
FKC
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
FKC
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
ZEN
0 - 2
SPA
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ZSP
2 - 4
ZEN
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ZEN
1 - 1
FYK
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
0 - 1
ZEN
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ZEN
4 - 0
TOR
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |