Cherepovets vs FC Saturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
13º
21
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 66 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 61 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 39 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 27 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
LUK
1 - 1
FKC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKC
0 - 2
ZEN
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 1
FKC
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FKC
0 - 2
DVO
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FKI
2 - 1
FKC
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
SAT
1 - 2
SPA
19%
21%
59%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ZSP
0 - 2
SAT
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SAT
6 - 0
FYK
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FBK
1 - 0
SAT
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SAT
0 - 0
TOR
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |