Cherepovets vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
14º
12º
14
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 64 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 59 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 41 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 30 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
FKC
4 - 0
SPA
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FYK
3 - 2
FKC
24%
21%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKC
1 - 0
FBK
35%
25%
39%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 0
FKC
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
FKC
0 - 1
TVE
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
0 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 1
FKK
22%
20%
58%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 2
SAT
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
LUK
3 - 2
FKK
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ZEN
4 - 0
FKK
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |