Chayka vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
11º
2º
34
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chayka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FOT
0 - 0
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
ETK
91%
8%
2%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAS
0 - 0
CHA
6%
15%
78%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 1
CHA
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
FKK
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NAL
1 - 1
SKA
26%
27%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 4
NAL
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
NAL
1 - 1
SAI
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAL
2 - 3
CHE
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 2
NAL
38%
28%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |