Chayka vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chayka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 3
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 1
CHA
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
DIN
66%
20%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LEG
1 - 2
CHA
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
TOR
47%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 0
CHE
11%
20%
69%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
FCK
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DMA
1 - 5
CHE
12%
22%
67%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
BIO
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |