Bumprom vs FK Orsha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
14º
13º
31
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bumprom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OSI
0 - 1
FBG
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FBG
2 - 1
SHA
34%
22%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
4 - 0
FBG
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FBG
0 - 7
OFC
24%
21%
54%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MKK
2 - 0
FBG
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FK Orsha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ORS
3 - 0
OSI
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
ORS
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORS
1 - 2
MOL
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OFC
4 - 4
ORS
69%
17%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORS
2 - 1
MKK
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |