Buducnost Arilje vs Polet Ljubić analysis


25	ELO	31
3.9%	Tilt	-4.7%
45470º	General ELO ranking	5329º
310º	Country ELO ranking	62º
ELO win probability

42.1%

Buducnost Arilje

22.1%

Draw

35.8%

Polet Ljubić

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

42.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%

22.1%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

9.1%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.4%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

22.1%

35.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

20

4º

16º

45

2º

7º

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

5º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	77	77	1º	100%
2º	73	73	2º	100%
3º	57	57	3º	100%
4º	48	48	4º	100%
5º	45	45	5º	100%
6º	41	41	6º	100%
7º	37	37	7º	0%
8º	37	37	8º	0%
9º	34	34	9º	100%
10º	34	34	10º	100%
12º	33	33	11º	0%
11º	33	33	12º	0%
13º	32	32	13º	100%
14º	31	31	14º	100%
15º	30	30	15º	100%
16º	20	20	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Buducnost Arilje

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 May. 2023	BUA 2 - 0 FRK 35% 23% 42%	25	32	7	0
07 May. 2023	PRO 1 - 0 BUA 71% 17% 13%	25	35	10	0
30 Apr. 2023	BUA 0 - 1 TAK 28% 23% 49%	26	39	13	-1
23 Apr. 2023	SLP 2 - 0 BUA 82% 13% 6%	27	48	21	-1
19 Apr. 2023	BUA 1 - 2 SBB 42% 23% 36%	27	33	6	0

Matches

Polet Ljubić

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
14 May. 2023	PLJ 1 - 0 TUT 31% 24% 45%	29	37	8	0
07 May. 2023	FRK 0 - 0 PLJ 56% 21% 23%	29	33	4	0
30 Apr. 2023	PLJ 2 - 1 SLO 50% 24% 27%	28	29	1	+1
23 Apr. 2023	PRO 2 - 0 PLJ 56% 21% 23%	30	33	3	-2
19 Apr. 2023	PLJ 0 - 0 BUD 40% 25% 35%	29	35	6	+1