Bodø / Glimt II vs Harstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
74.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
12º
14º
14º
51
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bodø / Glimt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FYL
4 - 2
FBG
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 4
HAM
20%
18%
63%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SJE
3 - 1
FBG
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FBG
2 - 8
FLO
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ELV
5 - 1
FBG
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 1
IFC
85%
9%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 2
HAR
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ILU
1 - 1
HAR
18%
18%
65%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 2
ELV
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 3
HAR
17%
19%
65%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |