Beitar/Riga Mariners vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
1.8%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
91.6%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.3%
0-4
11%
1-5
4.8%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
16.7%
0-5
8.3%
1-6
3%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0%
-5
11.9%
0-6
5.3%
1-7
1.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
7.2%
0-7
2.9%
1-8
0.8%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.8%
0-8
1.4%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.7%
0-9
0.6%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.7%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RFA
2 - 5
FKB
61%
18%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
UPE
0 - 3
FKB
17%
17%
66%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AUG
1 - 5
FKB
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 0
TUK
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +6 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKB
2 - 3
OUD
14%
18%
69%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
VAL
4 - 3
OUD
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
VAL
6 - 0
CES
86%
10%
5%
|
77 | 13 | 64 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
VAL
8 - 0
LIM
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 13 | 64 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
VAL
40%
22%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KAL
6 - 0
VAL
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |